Jukes Cantor

Expand: Needs more about the math and a chart graphic of the amino acid substitutions.


Jukes Cantor has one parameter, α, which is the probability of any one nucleotide changing to another. Thus, the probability of a site remaining constant at time t is:

pii(t) = 1 / 4 + 3 / 4e − 4αt

And the probability of a site changing is:

pij(t) = 1 / 4 − 1 / 4e − 4αt

Contents

[edit] 1 Substitution Matrix

The instantaneous rates for substitutions can be expressed in a substitution matrix:

 Q = \left[ \begin{array}{cccc}
-3 \alpha & \alpha & \alpha & \alpha \\
\alpha & -3 \alpha & \alpha & \alpha  \\
\alpha & \alpha & -3 \alpha &  \alpha  \\
\alpha & \alpha & \alpha &  -3 \alpha \end{array} \right]

The diagonal makes each row sum to 0.

[edit] 2 Assumptions

Jukes Cantor makes some very unrealistic assumptions:

  1. All substitutions equally likely, treated the same, and there's only a single substitution type.
  2. The frequencies of the nucleotides are assumed to be equal--sites are composed of 25% of each nucleotide.
  3. All sites have the same probability of substitution and evolve at the same rate.
  4. The rate of substitution is constant through time.
  5. Sites are independent.
  6. The probability of a site changing is not dependent on its history (a Markov process).

[edit] 3 Links

[edit] 4 References

  • Jukes, T. H. and C. R. Cantor. 1969. Evolution of protein molecules. Pp. 21-123 in H. N. Munro, ed. Mammalian protein metabolism. Academic Press, New York.
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